The Real Madrid vs Mallorca Prediction for the 2025/26 La Liga clash at the Santiago Bernabéu highlights a classic battle of giants vs underdogs. Real Madrid, sitting 3rd with six points from two games, are looking strong, while Mallorca come into this fixture struggling in 16th with just one point. The home side’s firepower, led by Kylian Mbappé and Vinícius Júnior, will be tested against Mallorca’s compact defensive approach.
Table of Contents
Match Overview
- Competition: La Liga – Matchday 4
- Date & Time: Sunday, 31 August 2025 – 02:30 (Local Time)
- Venue: Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid
- Live Table Position: Real Madrid – 3rd (6 pts), Mallorca – 16th (1 pt)
This La Liga Matchday 3 clash at the Santiago Bernabéu sees Real Madrid aiming to extend their perfect start to the season, while Mallorca search for their first win. Madrid enter the game full of confidence after two straight victories, showcasing both attacking firepower and defensive solidity. In contrast, Mallorca’s early struggles leave them under pressure, with only one point from two games and a tough test ahead against one of Spain’s strongest sides.
Current Situation – Real Madrid and Mallorca
Real Madrid
Real Madrid arrive in excellent form. Two wins from two, eight goals scored, and none conceded in La Liga underline their dominance. Mbappé’s arrival has added a lethal edge, while Vinícius Jr. continues to terrorize defenses. The midfield, led by Valverde and Tchouaméni, looks balanced. Only concern: defensive inexperience with youngster Huijsen.
Key Concern: Vulnerable to counters if full-backs push too high.
Mallorca
Mallorca sit near the relegation zone with just one point. A draw vs Celta Vigo and a heavy loss to Barcelona show their struggles. Despite defensive organization, they lack creativity in attack. Zeki Amdouni remains their best hope to exploit Madrid’s backline on the break.
Key Concern: Lack of goals – only 1 scored in 2 matches.
Real Madrid vs Mallorca Prediction – Team Comparison
| Category | Real Madrid | Mallorca |
|---|---|---|
| Current Form | 2 games, 2 wins (6 pts) | 2 games, 1 draw, 1 loss (1 pt) |
| Key Strength | World-class attack: Mbappé & Vini | Compact defensive shape |
| Key Concern | Defensive rotations, youth at CB | Lack of creativity in attack |
| Players to Watch | Mbappé, Vinícius Jr., Valverde | Amdouni, Darder, Mascarell |
| Managerial Situation | Ancelotti chasing title momentum | Kompany looking for stability |
Historical Context
Real Madrid have dominated Mallorca at home in recent years.
- Last 5 meetings: Madrid wins all (aggregate 18–3).
- Mallorca’s last win at the Bernabéu was back in 2009.
Madrid usually score multiple goals in this fixture, making Mallorca’s task daunting.
Pre-Match Storylines
- Mbappé’s Home Debut Impact: Fans expect fireworks.
- Mallorca’s Struggles: Can they avoid a heavy defeat?
- Midfield Control: Valverde & Tchouaméni vs Mascarell & Sánchez.
- Early Title Momentum: Madrid want to keep pace with Barcelona.
Form Guide – Real Madrid vs Mallorca
Real Madrid (Last 5 Matches)
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug 25 | Valladolid | Win | 0–3 | Strong finish |
| 19 Aug 25 | Osasuna | Win | 1–0 | Narrow control |
| 12 Aug 25 | Betis | Win | 0–4 | Dominant |
| 09 Jul 25 | PSG | Loss | 4–0 | Defensive gaps |
| 05 Jul 25 | Dortmund | Win | 3–2 | High scoring |
Real Madrid: They have recorded 4 wins in their last 5 matches, showing strong consistency. In La Liga, they have been especially dominant, scoring 11 goals across their last 3 games while keeping two clean sheets, underlining both attacking firepower and defensive stability.
Mallorca (Last 5 Matches)
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug 25 | Celta Vigo | Draw | 1–1 | Missed chances |
| 16 Aug 25 | Barcelona | Loss | 0–3 | Outclassed |
| 09 Aug 25 | Hamburg | Win | 2–0 | Good showing |
| 06 Aug 25 | Barcelona | Win | 0–2 | Friendly upset |
| 31 Jul 25 | Parma | Draw | 1–1 | Tight game |
Mallorca: They have collected only 1 point from their opening 2 La Liga matches, managing just 1 goal while conceding 4. Their attack has struggled to create clear chances, and defensive lapses have left them vulnerable against stronger opposition.
Head-to-Head Record – Real Madrid vs Mallorca
| Date | Fixture | Result |
|---|---|---|
| May 2024 | Mallorca vs Real Madrid | 0–2 Madrid |
| Jan 2024 | Real Madrid vs Mallorca | 3–1 Madrid |
| Sep 2022 | Real Madrid vs Mallorca | 4–1 Madrid |
| Mar 2022 | Mallorca vs Real Madrid | 0–3 Madrid |
| Oct 2021 | Real Madrid vs Mallorca | 6–1 Madrid |
Madrid dominance: 18 goals scored in last 5 meetings.
Key Players to Watch
Real Madrid – Kylian Mbappé
Mbappé is Madrid’s main danger man, combining blistering pace with lethal finishing. Against a compact Mallorca defense, his off-the-ball runs and ability to turn half-chances into goals will be decisive.
- Draws defenders, creates space for others
- Explosive pace to break defensive lines
- Clinical finishing inside the box
Mallorca – Sergi Darder
Darder is Mallorca’s midfield general, controlling tempo and dictating transitions. His ability to stay composed under Madrid’s pressing will be crucial.
- Intelligent passer under pressure
- Controls rhythm in midfield battles
- Key link between defense and attack
Tactical Outlook – Real Madrid vs Mallorca Prediction
The tactical outlook suggests Real Madrid will dominate possession (65–70%), using fast transitions and wide play to break Mallorca’s compact 4-4-2 setup. Mbappé and Vinícius are expected to be decisive in creating overloads, while Mallorca will rely on deep defending and quick counters through Amdouni and Asano.
- Real Madrid:
Expect 65–70% possession, fast transitions, and heavy wing play. Mbappé–Vinícius link will be crucial. - Mallorca:
Compact 4-4-2, deep defending, occasional counters via Amdouni and Asano. Aim to frustrate and limit chances.
Statistical Forecast
The statistical forecast further underlines Madrid’s dominance: 65% possession, 16–18 shots, and an xG of 2.1 compared to Mallorca’s 0.7. Los Blancos are projected to create 3–4 big chances with a 55% chance of a clean sheet, while Mallorca’s threat is limited to just 1 big chance and a 20% chance of keeping Madrid out.
| Metric | Real Madrid | Mallorca |
|---|---|---|
| Possession | 65% | 35% |
| Shots | 16–18 | 6–7 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.1 | 0.7 |
| Big Chances Created | 3–4 | 1 |
| Clean Sheet Chance | 55% | 20% |
Prediction Summary
The Real Madrid vs Mallorca Prediction suggests a clear Madrid victory. Los Blancos’ attack is firing, and Mallorca’s defense may not cope with Mbappé and Vinícius Jr. Expect a dominant showing at the Bernabéu.
Final Score Prediction
Real Madrid 3–0 Mallorca
- Likely Scorers: Mbappé, Vinícius Jr., Güler
- Confidence Levels:
- Madrid Win: 70%
- Draw: 20%
- Mallorca Win: 10%
Betting Tips – Real Madrid vs Mallorca Prediction (Informational Only)
| Market | Prediction |
|---|---|
| Match Winner | Real Madrid ✅ |
| Both Teams to Score | No |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 |
| Anytime Scorer | Kylian Mbappé |
| Correct Score | 3–0 Real Madrid |
| Half-Time/Full-Time | Madrid / Madrid ✅ |
Note: For informational purposes only. Gamble responsibly.
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FAQs – Real Madrid vs Mallorca Prediction
1.When is the Real Madrid vs Mallorca match?
The Real Madrid vs Mallorca Prediction is for Sunday, 31 August 2025, 02:30 local time at Santiago Bernabéu.
2.What is the form of both teams?
Madrid have 4 wins in 5, while Mallorca earned just 1 point from 2 La Liga games.
3.Why is Madrid favored in the Real Madrid vs Mallorca Prediction?
They have stronger form, home advantage, and a dominant head-to-head record.
4.Who are the key players to watch?
Mbappé and Vinícius for Madrid; Amdouni and Darder for Mallorca.
5.What is the predicted scoreline?
The Real Madrid vs Mallorca Prediction points to a 3–0 win for Madrid.